The Australian construction industry has undoubtedly been a major contributor to the country’s economic growth. The industry has continued to create employment for hundreds of thousands of employees, contractors, and subcontractors, supports small-scale business operators in various trades and industries, and is expected to continue its growth trend in 2026.
A nationwide housing shortage has driven a surge in demand, leading to heightened construction activity across all Australian states and territories.
Although construction is sensitive to Reserve Bank cash rate decisions, persistent strong housing demand outpacing supply continues to drive robust construction activity nationwide.
We briefly review the building approval data from the ABS reference period March 2026 and the series of economic events that will influence the construction industry in the year.
| Dwellings Approved March 2026 Key Figures | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26 (no.) | Monthly change (%) | Yearly change (%) | ||
| Seasonally adjusted | ||||
| Total dwelling units approved | 17,300 | -10.5 | 9.0 | |
| Private sector houses | 10,194 | 0.9 | 12.0 | |
| Private sector dwellings excluding houses | 6,632 | -26.0 | 3.4 | |
| Trend | ||||
| Total dwelling units approved | 17,657 | 0.5 | 13.1 | |
| Private sector houses | 10,142 | 1.1 | 10.1 | |
| Private sector dwellings excluding houses | 7,133 | -0.6 | 16.6 | |
(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
The key seasonally adjusted estimated data from the ABS, with the reference period March 2026, shows that dwelling approvals had declined by 10.5% to 17,300.

(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
| Dwelling Units Approved (a) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Seasonally adjusted (no.) | Trend (no.) | |
| Mar-11 | 13,986 | 13,361 |
| Apr-11 | 13,912 | 13,252 |
| May-11 | 12,797 | 13,236 |
| Jun-11 | 12,655 | 13,192 |
| Jul-11 | 13,123 | 13,066 |
| Aug-11 | 14,766 | 12,817 |
| Sep-11 | 12,358 | 12,485 |
| Oct-11 | 11,426 | 12,117 |
| Nov-11 | 11,700 | 11,712 |
| Dec-11 | 11,756 | 11,357 |
| Jan-12 | 11,269 | 11,279 |
| Feb-12 | 11,697 | 11,511 |
| Mar-12 | 11,782 | 11,900 |
| Apr-12 | 10,962 | 12,319 |
| May-12 | 13,940 | 12,773 |
| Jun-12 | 14,986 | 13,222 |
| Jul-12 | 11,803 | 13,616 |
| Aug-12 | 13,215 | 13,897 |
| Sep-12 | 15,451 | 14,030 |
| Oct-12 | 14,146 | 13,986 |
| Nov-12 | 13,959 | 13,844 |
| Dec-12 | 14,013 | 13,696 |
| Jan-13 | 12,647 | 13,553 |
| Feb-13 | 13,809 | 13,500 |
| Mar-13 | 13,342 | 13,586 |
| Apr-13 | 15,011 | 13,820 |
| May-13 | 14,221 | 14,173 |
| Jun-13 | 13,790 | 14,663 |
| Jul-13 | 15,015 | 15,241 |
| Aug-13 | 15,059 | 15,868 |
| Sep-13 | 18,602 | 16,511 |
| Oct-13 | 17,484 | 17,037 |
| Nov-13 | 17,350 | 17,315 |
| Dec-13 | 17,021 | 17,294 |
| Jan-14 | 17,736 | 17,084 |
| Feb-14 | 16,919 | 16,801 |
| Mar-14 | 16,064 | 16,604 |
| Apr-14 | 16,257 | 16,552 |
| May-14 | 16,825 | 16,567 |
| Jun-14 | 16,691 | 16,720 |
| Jul-14 | 16,927 | 17,040 |
| Aug-14 | 18,648 | 17,497 |
| Sep-14 | 16,480 | 17,999 |
| Oct-14 | 18,021 | 18,544 |
| Nov-14 | 20,351 | 19,060 |
| Dec-14 | 20,096 | 19,498 |
| Jan-15 | 20,061 | 19,821 |
| Feb-15 | 19,829 | 19,997 |
| Mar-15 | 20,810 | 20,002 |
| Apr-15 | 19,010 | 19,864 |
| May-15 | 20,862 | 19,771 |
| Jun-15 | 19,349 | 19,728 |
| Jul-15 | 19,667 | 19,732 |
| Aug-15 | 19,476 | 19,773 |
| Sep-15 | 20,234 | 19,816 |
| Oct-15 | 21,632 | 19,792 |
| Nov-15 | 18,837 | 19,722 |
| Dec-15 | 20,048 | 19,724 |
| Jan-16 | 18,817 | 19,753 |
| Feb-16 | 19,923 | 19,817 |
| Mar-16 | 20,517 | 19,973 |
| Apr-16 | 20,860 | 20,241 |
| May-16 | 20,283 | 20,460 |
| Jun-16 | 18,604 | 20,474 |
| Jul-16 | 21,425 | 20,283 |
| Aug-16 | 21,972 | 19,845 |
| Sep-16 | 19,300 | 19,307 |
| Oct-16 | 16,594 | 18,724 |
| Nov-16 | 18,360 | 18,215 |
| Dec-16 | 18,427 | 17,834 |
| Jan-17 | 17,038 | 17,628 |
| Feb-17 | 19,079 | 17,592 |
| Mar-17 | 16,483 | 17,612 |
| Apr-17 | 18,241 | 17,688 |
| May-17 | 16,895 | 17,888 |
| Jun-17 | 18,832 | 18,328 |
| Jul-17 | 19,213 | 18,880 |
| Aug-17 | 19,331 | 19,399 |
| Sep-17 | 19,668 | 19,744 |
| Oct-17 | 19,673 | 19,852 |
| Nov-17 | 23,033 | 19,820 |
| Dec-17 | 17,921 | 19,640 |
| Jan-18 | 19,351 | 19,416 |
| Feb-18 | 19,264 | 19,217 |
| Mar-18 | 19,847 | 19,073 |
| Apr-18 | 18,467 | 18,933 |
| May-18 | 17,793 | 18,749 |
| Jun-18 | 19,648 | 18,466 |
| Jul-18 | 18,515 | 18,025 |
| Aug-18 | 16,514 | 17,444 |
| Sep-18 | 16,757 | 16,753 |
| Oct-18 | 17,088 | 16,090 |
| Nov-18 | 15,175 | 15,576 |
| Dec-18 | 14,285 | 15,278 |
| Jan-19 | 14,507 | 15,177 |
| Feb-19 | 16,670 | 15,125 |
| Mar-19 | 15,295 | 15,037 |
| Apr-19 | 14,388 | 14,870 |
| May-19 | 14,392 | 14,581 |
| Jun-19 | 14,963 | 14,230 |
| Jul-19 | 13,386 | 14,038 |
| Aug-19 | 13,952 | 14,077 |
| Sep-19 | 14,628 | 14,240 |
| Oct-19 | 14,175 | 14,408 |
| Nov-19 | 14,996 | 14,581 |
| Dec-19 | 15,927 | 14,722 |
| Jan-20 | 13,366 | 14,728 |
| Feb-20 | 16,443 | 14,630 |
| Mar-20 | 15,495 | 14,425 |
| Apr-20 | 14,894 | 14,212 |
| May-20 | 13,432 | 14,106 |
| Jun-20 | 12,937 | 14,230 |
| Jul-20 | 15,064 | 14,637 |
| Aug-20 | 14,646 | 15,284 |
| Sep-20 | 16,118 | 16,021 |
| Oct-20 | 17,463 | 16,720 |
| Nov-20 | 17,836 | 17,320 |
| Dec-20 | 18,938 | 17,817 |
| Jan-21 | 17,205 | 18,238 |
| Feb-21 | 20,048 | 20,623 |
| Mar-21 | 23,076 | 20,714 |
| Apr-21 | 20,154 | 20,608 |
| May-21 | 20,701 | 20,238 |
| Jun-21 | 19,778 | 19,624 |
| Jul-21 | 18,659 | 18,919 |
| Aug-21 | 19,410 | 18,227 |
| Sep-21 | 18,311 | 17,717 |
| Oct-21 | 16,410 | 17,383 |
| Nov-21 | 16,443 | 17,123 |
| Dec-21 | 17,083 | 16,929 |
| Jan-22 | 14,299 | 16,781 |
| Feb-22 | 18,617 | 16,558 |
| Mar-22 | 15,055 | 16,269 |
| Apr-22 | 15,851 | 15,999 |
| May-22 | 16,405 | 15,862 |
| Jun-22 | 16,507 | 15,862 |
| Jul-22 | 14,219 | 15,972 |
| Aug-22 | 17,633 | 16,105 |
| Sep-22 | 16,355 | 16,119 |
| Oct-22 | 15,635 | 15,880 |
| Nov-22 | 14,903 | 15,412 |
| Dec-22 | 16,941 | 14,798 |
| Jan-23 | 13,076 | 14,223 |
| Feb-23 | 13,622 | 13,810 |
| Mar-23 | 13,402 | 13,638 |
| Apr-23 | 12,915 | 13,597 |
| May-23 | 15,153 | 13,674 |
| Jun-23 | 13,901 | 13,812 |
| Jul-23 | 12,861 | 13,946 |
| Aug-23 | 13,718 | 14,001 |
| Sep-23 | 13,681 | 14,010 |
| Oct-23 | 14,589 | 13,950 |
| Nov-23 | 14,459 | 13,829 |
| Dec-23 | 13,885 | 13,684 |
| Jan-24 | 13,891 | 13,502 |
| Feb-24 | 13,235 | 13,404 |
| Mar-24 | 13,702 | 13,459 |
| Apr-24 | 13,587 | 13,620 |
| May-24 | 14,336 | 13,887 |
| Jun-24 | 13,486 | 14,209 |
| Jul-24 | 15,173 | 14,578 |
| Aug-24 | 14,659 | 14,917 |
| Sep-24 | 14,914 | 15,195 |
| Oct-24 | 16,203 | 15,403 |
| Nov-24 | 15,350 | 15,525 |
| Dec-24 | 15,592 | 15,532 |
| Jan-25 | 17,355 | 15,497 |
| Feb-25 | 16,657 | 15,530 |
| Mar-25 | 15,872 | 15,613 |
| Apr-25 | 14,973 | 15,771 |
| May-25 | 15,478 | 15,921 |
| Jun-25 | 17,511 | 16,054 |
| Jul-25 | 16,088 | 16,249 |
| Aug-25 | 15,393 | 16,433 |
| Sep-25 | 17,196 | 16,617 |
| Oct-25 | 16,033 | 16,783 |
| Nov-25 | 18,464 | 16,974 |
| Dec-25 | 15,854 | 17,204 |
| Jan-26 | 14,767 | 17,400 |
| Feb-26 | 19,339 | 17,572 |
| Mar-26 | 17,300 | 17,657 |
| a. Trend break added to ‘Total dwelling units approved’ trend series for February 2021 | ||
(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
During the same reference period, private sector housing approvals rose 0.9% to 10,194, while private sector dwellings excluding houses fell 26.0% to 6632.

(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
| Dwellings Approved, By Building Type (a) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonally adjusted – Private sector houses (no.) | Trend – Private sector houses (no.) | Seasonally adjusted – Private sector dwellings excluding houses (no.) | Trend – Private sector dwellings excluding houses (no.) | |
| Mar-11 | 8,200 | 8,213 | 5,313 | 4,831 |
| Apr-11 | 8,161 | 8,126 | 5,515 | 4,813 |
| May-11 | 8,023 | 8,030 | 4,514 | 4,881 |
| Jun-11 | 7,979 | 7,918 | 4,316 | 4,938 |
| Jul-11 | 7,685 | 7,800 | 4,991 | 4,929 |
| Aug-11 | 7,764 | 7,700 | 6,563 | 4,792 |
| Sep-11 | 7,776 | 7,637 | 4,333 | 4,551 |
| Oct-11 | 7,266 | 7,620 | 3,957 | 4,242 |
| Nov-11 | 7,617 | 7,613 | 3,870 | 3,886 |
| Dec-11 | 7,693 | 7,583 | 3,931 | 3,593 |
| Jan-12 | 7,812 | 7,504 | 3,237 | 3,611 |
| Feb-12 | 7,352 | 7,389 | 4,189 | 3,963 |
| Mar-12 | 7,513 | 7,276 | 4,087 | 4,467 |
| Apr-12 | 6,817 | 7,213 | 4,046 | 4,957 |
| May-12 | 7,289 | 7,241 | 6,546 | 5,382 |
| Jun-12 | 7,294 | 7,367 | 7,503 | 5,691 |
| Jul-12 | 7,694 | 7,538 | 3,868 | 5,884 |
| Aug-12 | 7,695 | 7,693 | 5,376 | 5,977 |
| Sep-12 | 7,931 | 7,785 | 7,332 | 5,991 |
| Oct-12 | 7,825 | 7,809 | 5,843 | 5,905 |
| Nov-12 | 7,714 | 7,790 | 5,997 | 5,778 |
| Dec-12 | 7,758 | 7,780 | 6,042 | 5,645 |
| Jan-13 | 7,802 | 7,802 | 4,642 | 5,481 |
| Feb-13 | 7,776 | 7,876 | 5,377 | 5,349 |
| Mar-13 | 7,974 | 7,988 | 5,128 | 5,311 |
| Apr-13 | 8,158 | 8,119 | 6,592 | 5,395 |
| May-13 | 8,369 | 8,237 | 5,437 | 5,616 |
| Jun-13 | 8,271 | 8,342 | 5,182 | 6,001 |
| Jul-13 | 8,538 | 8,426 | 6,227 | 6,501 |
| Aug-13 | 8,420 | 8,522 | 6,323 | 7,041 |
| Sep-13 | 8,676 | 8,678 | 9,610 | 7,535 |
| Oct-13 | 8,711 | 8,899 | 8,511 | 7,847 |
| Nov-13 | 9,256 | 9,153 | 7,778 | 7,873 |
| Dec-13 | 9,075 | 9,394 | 7,690 | 7,611 |
| Jan-14 | 10,203 | 9,580 | 7,181 | 7,217 |
| Feb-14 | 9,751 | 9,692 | 6,947 | 6,826 |
| Mar-14 | 9,367 | 9,736 | 6,422 | 6,589 |
| Apr-14 | 9,753 | 9,733 | 6,169 | 6,545 |
| May-14 | 9,786 | 9,710 | 6,814 | 6,589 |
| Jun-14 | 9,672 | 9,699 | 6,739 | 6,762 |
| Jul-14 | 9,762 | 9,703 | 6,942 | 7,092 |
| Aug-14 | 9,724 | 9,723 | 8,632 | 7,536 |
| Sep-14 | 9,549 | 9,739 | 6,690 | 8,012 |
| Oct-14 | 9,863 | 9,764 | 7,963 | 8,504 |
| Nov-14 | 9,843 | 9,793 | 10,258 | 8,952 |
| Dec-14 | 9,717 | 9,795 | 9,947 | 9,351 |
| Jan-15 | 9,931 | 9,767 | 9,647 | 9,677 |
| Feb-15 | 9,718 | 9,716 | 9,769 | 9,900 |
| Mar-15 | 9,627 | 9,672 | 10,854 | 9,970 |
| Apr-15 | 9,569 | 9,665 | 9,118 | 9,878 |
| May-15 | 9,562 | 9,705 | 11,001 | 9,782 |
| Jun-15 | 9,919 | 9,759 | 9,192 | 9,709 |
| Jul-15 | 9,743 | 9,812 | 9,059 | 9,672 |
| Aug-15 | 10,107 | 9,853 | 9,181 | 9,687 |
| Sep-15 | 9,807 | 9,866 | 10,121 | 9,736 |
| Oct-15 | 9,746 | 9,864 | 11,628 | 9,728 |
| Nov-15 | 9,670 | 9,871 | 9,086 | 9,664 |
| Dec-15 | 10,246 | 9,907 | 9,632 | 9,632 |
| Jan-16 | 9,824 | 9,965 | 8,687 | 9,594 |
| Feb-16 | 9,847 | 10,011 | 9,766 | 9,601 |
| Mar-16 | 10,214 | 10,019 | 10,092 | 9,734 |
| Apr-16 | 10,031 | 9,976 | 10,629 | 10,030 |
| May-16 | 10,018 | 9,903 | 9,951 | 10,310 |
| Jun-16 | 9,662 | 9,824 | 8,779 | 10,390 |
| Jul-16 | 9,608 | 9,759 | 11,599 | 10,247 |
| Aug-16 | 9,717 | 9,698 | 11,768 | 9,857 |
| Sep-16 | 9,788 | 9,646 | 9,344 | 9,369 |
| Oct-16 | 9,571 | 9,587 | 6,699 | 8,857 |
| Nov-16 | 9,628 | 9,504 | 8,421 | 8,451 |
| Dec-16 | 9,392 | 9,412 | 8,885 | 8,183 |
| Jan-17 | 9,148 | 9,342 | 7,665 | 8,066 |
| Feb-17 | 9,444 | 9,337 | 9,417 | 8,042 |
| Mar-17 | 9,317 | 9,419 | 6,928 | 7,981 |
| Apr-17 | 9,500 | 9,575 | 8,510 | 7,903 |
| May-17 | 9,798 | 9,767 | 6,940 | 7,907 |
| Jun-17 | 9,959 | 9,950 | 8,668 | 8,159 |
| Jul-17 | 10,235 | 10,091 | 8,668 | 8,568 |
| Aug-17 | 10,233 | 10,165 | 8,895 | 9,009 |
| Sep-17 | 10,115 | 10,171 | 9,304 | 9,344 |
| Oct-17 | 10,135 | 10,127 | 9,197 | 9,492 |
| Nov-17 | 10,062 | 10,101 | 12,804 | 9,483 |
| Dec-17 | 10,202 | 10,117 | 7,544 | 9,287 |
| Jan-18 | 9,825 | 10,173 | 9,235 | 9,010 |
| Feb-18 | 10,273 | 10,246 | 8,701 | 8,746 |
| Mar-18 | 10,504 | 10,307 | 9,173 | 8,552 |
| Apr-18 | 10,640 | 10,319 | 7,633 | 8,405 |
| May-18 | 9,889 | 10,280 | 7,751 | 8,255 |
| Jun-18 | 10,264 | 10,202 | 9,106 | 8,042 |
| Jul-18 | 10,120 | 10,090 | 8,174 | 7,703 |
| Aug-18 | 9,982 | 9,959 | 6,316 | 7,248 |
| Sep-18 | 9,618 | 9,824 | 6,806 | 6,701 |
| Oct-18 | 10,049 | 9,668 | 6,862 | 6,214 |
| Nov-18 | 9,346 | 9,476 | 5,695 | 5,913 |
| Dec-18 | 9,098 | 9,257 | 5,050 | 5,851 |
| Jan-19 | 9,226 | 9,056 | 5,040 | 5,957 |
| Feb-19 | 8,926 | 8,893 | 7,633 | 6,063 |
| Mar-19 | 8,603 | 8,779 | 6,454 | 6,073 |
| Apr-19 | 8,601 | 8,727 | 5,662 | 5,947 |
| May-19 | 8,773 | 8,711 | 5,390 | 5,670 |
| Jun-19 | 8,904 | 8,690 | 5,818 | 5,344 |
| Jul-19 | 8,610 | 8,657 | 4,560 | 5,190 |
| Aug-19 | 8,535 | 8,605 | 5,296 | 5,286 |
| Sep-19 | 8,779 | 8,544 | 5,700 | 5,518 |
| Oct-19 | 8,180 | 8,499 | 5,782 | 5,739 |
| Nov-19 | 8,497 | 8,495 | 6,317 | 5,922 |
| Dec-19 | 8,647 | 8,530 | 7,097 | 6,025 |
| Jan-20 | 8,548 | 8,586 | 4,672 | 5,964 |
| Feb-20 | 8,716 | 8,641 | 7,574 | 5,752 |
| Mar-20 | 8,664 | 8,683 | 6,606 | 5,485 |
| Apr-20 | 8,841 | 8,728 | 5,682 | 5,209 |
| May-20 | 8,818 | 8,820 | 4,322 | 4,993 |
| Jun-20 | 8,425 | 9,026 | 4,153 | 4,892 |
| Jul-20 | 9,159 | 9,370 | 5,651 | 4,936 |
| Aug-20 | 9,652 | 9,845 | 4,774 | 5,094 |
| Sep-20 | 10,527 | 10,394 | 5,051 | 5,270 |
| Oct-20 | 11,073 | 10,948 | 6,019 | 5,410 |
| Nov-20 | 11,537 | 11,435 | 5,905 | 5,524 |
| Dec-20 | 13,154 | 11,788 | 5,552 | 5,686 |
| Jan-21 | 11,979 | 11,969 | 4,822 | 5,947 |
| Feb-21 | 13,915 | 14,065 | 5,731 | 6,256 |
| Mar-21 | 14,337 | 13,904 | 8,277 | 6,516 |
| Apr-21 | 13,465 | 13,587 | 6,442 | 6,724 |
| May-21 | 13,744 | 13,125 | 6,696 | 6,812 |
| Jun-21 | 12,548 | 12,562 | 6,854 | 6,756 |
| Jul-21 | 12,182 | 11,942 | 6,233 | 6,669 |
| Aug-21 | 12,061 | 11,369 | 7,058 | 6,565 |
| Sep-21 | 10,740 | 10,918 | 7,352 | 6,523 |
| Oct-21 | 10,353 | 10,610 | 5,482 | 6,494 |
| Nov-21 | 10,396 | 10,415 | 5,823 | 6,401 |
| Dec-21 | 10,120 | 10,293 | 6,701 | 6,284 |
| Jan-22 | 9,616 | 10,189 | 4,454 | 6,198 |
| Feb-22 | 9,743 | 10,053 | 7,911 | 6,088 |
| Mar-22 | 9,758 | 9,900 | 4,968 | 5,959 |
| Apr-22 | 9,739 | 9,776 | 5,958 | 5,854 |
| May-22 | 9,591 | 9,713 | 6,495 | 5,840 |
| Jun-22 | 9,720 | 9,702 | 6,428 | 5,898 |
| Jul-22 | 9,589 | 9,695 | 4,440 | 6,026 |
| Aug-22 | 10,146 | 9,632 | 7,248 | 6,207 |
| Sep-22 | 9,333 | 9,471 | 6,854 | 6,362 |
| Oct-22 | 9,218 | 9,258 | 5,925 | 6,341 |
| Nov-22 | 8,955 | 9,022 | 5,608 | 6,120 |
| Dec-22 | 8,768 | 8,801 | 8,020 | 5,746 |
| Jan-23 | 8,533 | 8,621 | 4,415 | 5,369 |
| Feb-23 | 8,606 | 8,470 | 4,752 | 5,111 |
| Mar-23 | 8,412 | 8,351 | 4,689 | 5,044 |
| Apr-23 | 8,209 | 8,254 | 4,481 | 5,074 |
| May-23 | 8,169 | 8,207 | 6,772 | 5,177 |
| Jun-23 | 8,162 | 8,216 | 5,244 | 5,313 |
| Jul-23 | 8,074 | 8,292 | 4,582 | 5,393 |
| Aug-23 | 8,763 | 8,413 | 4,759 | 5,349 |
| Sep-23 | 8,321 | 8,531 | 5,133 | 5,243 |
| Oct-23 | 8,775 | 8,620 | 5,623 | 5,082 |
| Nov-23 | 8,682 | 8,677 | 5,587 | 4,879 |
| Dec-23 | 8,898 | 8,717 | 4,474 | 4,668 |
| Jan-24 | 8,453 | 8,757 | 5,201 | 4,436 |
| Feb-24 | 8,687 | 8,817 | 4,180 | 4,294 |
| Mar-24 | 9,242 | 8,905 | 4,293 | 4,297 |
| Apr-24 | 8,886 | 9,020 | 4,404 | 4,376 |
| May-24 | 9,132 | 9,162 | 5,044 | 4,512 |
| Jun-24 | 9,204 | 9,297 | 4,063 | 4,664 |
| Jul-24 | 9,432 | 9,391 | 5,482 | 4,860 |
| Aug-24 | 9,491 | 9,420 | 4,814 | 5,079 |
| Sep-24 | 9,657 | 9,393 | 4,629 | 5,310 |
| Oct-24 | 9,182 | 9,315 | 6,499 | 5,568 |
| Nov-24 | 9,178 | 9,213 | 5,438 | 5,811 |
| Dec-24 | 8,974 | 9,144 | 6,342 | 5,949 |
| Jan-25 | 9,123 | 9,123 | 7,936 | 6,012 |
| Feb-25 | 9,246 | 9,155 | 7,160 | 6,072 |
| Mar-25 | 9,105 | 9,208 | 6,416 | 6,115 |
| Apr-25 | 9,418 | 9,256 | 5,228 | 6,199 |
| May-25 | 9,316 | 9,280 | 5,920 | 6,284 |
| Jun-25 | 9,147 | 9,289 | 7,955 | 6,367 |
| Jul-25 | 9,436 | 9,296 | 6,033 | 6,538 |
| Aug-25 | 9,175 | 9,320 | 5,867 | 6,696 |
| Sep-25 | 9,468 | 9,372 | 7,384 | 6,845 |
| Oct-25 | 9,405 | 9,466 | 6,286 | 6,945 |
| Nov-25 | 9,559 | 9,596 | 8,437 | 7,030 |
| Dec-25 | 9,715 | 9,741 | 5,915 | 7,122 |
| Jan-26 | 9,910 | 9,890 | 4,460 | 7,160 |
| Feb-26 | 10,107 | 10,032 | 8,967 | 7,174 |
| Mar-26 | 10,194 | 10,142 | 6,632 | 7,133 |
| a. Trend break added to ‘Private sector houses’ trend series for February 2021 | ||||
(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
Additionally, over the same reference period and in dollar terms, the value of total residential building fell by 15.8% to AUD10.77b, and the value of total non-residential building fell by 25.3% to AUD5.97b.
For the seasonally adjusted total dwellings data by state for the March 2026 reference, NSW and Tasmania saw increases in approvals, while all the other states saw declines.
For private-sector housing approvals in March 2026, NSW and Queensland saw increases, while all other states saw decreases.
| Dwellings Approved, States and Territories (a), Seasonally Adjusted | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private sector houses | Private sector houses | Total dwelling units approved | Total dwelling units approved | |
| (no.) | Monthly change (%) | (no.) | Monthly change (%) | |
| New South Wales | 2,351 | 9.5 | 4,445 | 3.2 |
| Victoria | 2,853 | -2.5 | 5,102 | -16.9 |
| Queensland | 2,258 | 7.2 | 3,910 | -6.4 |
| South Australia | 816 | -6.2 | 1,278 | -2.1 |
| Western Australia | 1,632 | -8.6 | 2,158 | -15.5 |
| Tasmania | na | na | 197 | 2.6 |
| Northern Territory | na | na | na | na |
| Australian Capital Territory | na | na | na | na |
| Australia | 10,194 | 0.9 | 17,300 | -10.5 |
(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
Approvals for private-sector houses, in trend terms by state, saw NSW, Queensland and Victoria with increased approvals in March 2026.
| Dwellings Approved, States and Territories (a), Trend | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private sector houses | Private sector houses | Total dwelling units approved | Total dwelling units approved | |
| (no.) | Monthly change (%) | (no.) | Monthly change (%) | |
| New South Wales | 2,187 | 3.0 | 4,282 | -0.5 |
| Victoria | 2,840 | 1.2 | 5,178 | 1.5 |
| Queensland | 2,212 | 1.0 | 3,975 | 0.9 |
| South Australia | 846 | -0.2 | 1,274 | 0.6 |
| Western Australia | 1,762 | -0.2 | 2,358 | 0.4 |
| Tasmania | na | na | 209 | -1.9 |
| Northern Territory | na | na | 46 | -11.5 |
| Australian Capital Territory | na | na | 337 | -3.4 |
| Australia | 10,142 | 1.1 | 17,657 | 0.5 |
(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
The seasonally adjusted total value of non-residential building fell 25.3% to AUD5.97b in March 2026, much faster than the total value of residential building, which fell 15.8% to AUD10.77b.

(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
| Value of Building Approved (a), by Building Type | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonally adjusted – Residential ($m) | Trend – Residential ($m) | Seasonally adjusted – Non-residential ($m) | Trend – Non-residential ($m) | |
| Mar-11 | 4,102.1 | 3,969.1 | 3,898.1 | 2,328.1 |
| Apr-11 | 4,068.7 | 3,936 | 2,432.7 | 2,357.2 |
| May-11 | 3,798.6 | 3,918.5 | 2,302.5 | 2,408.9 |
| Jun-11 | 3,848.1 | 3,897.4 | 2,383 | 2,471.5 |
| Jul-11 | 3,735.3 | 3,856.9 | 2,542.7 | 2,530.6 |
| Aug-11 | 4,396.1 | 3,784.9 | 2,808.4 | 2,557.3 |
| Sep-11 | 3,649.6 | 3,696.4 | 3,081 | 2,552.9 |
| Oct-11 | 3,547.2 | 3,611.3 | 2,807.5 | 2,518.8 |
| Nov-11 | 3,487.1 | 3,530.3 | 2,136.8 | 2,458.9 |
| Dec-11 | 3,390.6 | 3,473.4 | 2,559.3 | 2,392.6 |
| Jan-12 | 3,474.9 | 3,469.8 | 5,229.3 | 2,349.7 |
| Feb-12 | 3,639.4 | 3,520 | 2,753.8 | 2,347.4 |
| Mar-12 | 3,531.5 | 3,575.9 | 2,304.9 | 2,391.8 |
| Apr-12 | 3,417.1 | 3,614.3 | 2,097 | 2,460.1 |
| May-12 | 4,188.6 | 3,652 | 3,731 | 2,545.6 |
| Jun-12 | 4,346.7 | 3,701.5 | 2,922.6 | 2,627.7 |
| Jul-12 | 3,529.6 | 3,775.1 | 2,774.4 | 2,683.2 |
| Aug-12 | 4,182.4 | 3,869.1 | 2,766.8 | 2,708.3 |
| Sep-12 | 4,608.7 | 3,963.7 | 2,474.8 | 2,710.8 |
| Oct-12 | 4,051.2 | 4,031.6 | 2,962.6 | 2,700.3 |
| Nov-12 | 4,043 | 4,068.7 | 2,567.1 | 2,729.8 |
| Dec-12 | 4,123.4 | 4,077.7 | 2,627.6 | 2,837.4 |
| Jan-13 | 3,953.8 | 4,061.8 | 3,314.7 | 2,986.3 |
| Feb-13 | 4,146.8 | 4,053.5 | 2,731.5 | 3,138.5 |
| Mar-13 | 4,011.7 | 4,069.5 | 3,364.9 | 3,241.5 |
| Apr-13 | 4,321.9 | 4,113.7 | 3,608.8 | 3,254.4 |
| May-13 | 4,167.5 | 4,182.8 | 3,443.3 | 3,198.3 |
| Jun-13 | 4,194.1 | 4,299.1 | 2,745.5 | 3,108.4 |
| Jul-13 | 4,405.5 | 4,454.8 | 2,857.5 | 3,051.1 |
| Aug-13 | 4,372.4 | 4,635.4 | 3,067.4 | 3,059.6 |
| Sep-13 | 5,129.4 | 4,821.3 | 2,948.1 | 3,136 |
| Oct-13 | 5,129.9 | 4,978.5 | 3,692.1 | 3,280.2 |
| Nov-13 | 4,969.8 | 5,069.2 | 3,163.6 | 3,388.5 |
| Dec-13 | 4,996.2 | 5,073.4 | 3,466.7 | 3,378.1 |
| Jan-14 | 5,187.4 | 5,025.5 | 3,300.5 | 3,239.9 |
| Feb-14 | 4,981.5 | 4,961.2 | 3,300.7 | 3,023.3 |
| Mar-14 | 4,820.5 | 4,935.2 | 2,942.7 | 2,787.4 |
| Apr-14 | 4,769.4 | 4,955.3 | 1,780.7 | 2,593.4 |
| May-14 | 4,993.7 | 4,976.2 | 2,605.8 | 2,467.2 |
| Jun-14 | 5,249.1 | 4,996.3 | 3,847.3 | 2,402.9 |
| Jul-14 | 4,962.5 | 5,026.7 | 2,467.4 | 2,400.1 |
| Aug-14 | 5,462 | 5,094.1 | 2,483.3 | 2,444 |
| Sep-14 | 4,613.1 | 5,207.8 | 2,437.2 | 2,509.8 |
| Oct-14 | 5,124.1 | 5,380.3 | 2,280.6 | 2,579 |
| Nov-14 | 6,013.3 | 5,584.4 | 2,762.8 | 2,640.9 |
| Dec-14 | 5,800.8 | 5,789.8 | 2,843.6 | 2,686 |
| Jan-15 | 6,197.6 | 5,949.8 | 3,904.8 | 2,675.7 |
| Feb-15 | 5,785.6 | 6,040.8 | 2,422.5 | 2,625.3 |
| Mar-15 | 6,152.1 | 6,074.9 | 2,582.8 | 2,573.9 |
| Apr-15 | 5,833 | 6,067.7 | 2,302.4 | 2,561.6 |
| May-15 | 6,409.1 | 6,071.6 | 2,602.7 | 2,601.5 |
| Jun-15 | 5,902.2 | 6,081.6 | 2,776.8 | 2,691.9 |
| Jul-15 | 6,169.6 | 6,097.9 | 2,978.9 | 2,804.5 |
| Aug-15 | 6,050.3 | 6,116.9 | 2,933.9 | 2,914.2 |
| Sep-15 | 5,980 | 6,125.9 | 2,918.1 | 3,004.4 |
| Oct-15 | 6,702.7 | 6,126.6 | 2,860.4 | 3,057.3 |
| Nov-15 | 6,039.2 | 6,132.1 | 3,378.2 | 3,073.7 |
| Dec-15 | 6,394.8 | 6,168.3 | 3,149.9 | 3,054.6 |
| Jan-16 | 5,795.8 | 6,222.9 | 3,032 | 3,023.6 |
| Feb-16 | 6,307.9 | 6,288.7 | 2,908.5 | 3,022.5 |
| Mar-16 | 6,414.1 | 6,375.4 | 2,725.2 | 3,034.5 |
| Apr-16 | 6,907.6 | 6,494.1 | 3,392.9 | 3,114.5 |
| May-16 | 6,460.2 | 6,605.2 | 2,999.9 | 3,276.3 |
| Jun-16 | 6,249.4 | 6,646.7 | 3,864.5 | 3,472.2 |
| Jul-16 | 6,702.5 | 6,586.3 | 3,439.8 | 3,628.9 |
| Aug-16 | 7,153.9 | 6,421.7 | 3,046.2 | 3,684.3 |
| Sep-16 | 6,178.4 | 6,236.9 | 5,552.9 | 3,622.4 |
| Oct-16 | 5,580.9 | 6,068.9 | 3,058.1 | 3,470.5 |
| Nov-16 | 5,757.7 | 5,957.3 | 3,073.2 | 3,304.5 |
| Dec-16 | 5,855.8 | 5,914.6 | 3,201.3 | 3,218.9 |
| Jan-17 | 6,140.9 | 5,943.4 | 2,891.5 | 3,282.6 |
| Feb-17 | 7,080.6 | 6,012.4 | 3,627.5 | 3,496.1 |
| Mar-17 | 5,481.3 | 6,064.9 | 3,675.2 | 3,776.9 |
| Apr-17 | 6,274.1 | 6,092.6 | 4,428.5 | 4,031.3 |
| May-17 | 5,993.8 | 6,132 | 4,509.9 | 4,185.1 |
| Jun-17 | 6,286.8 | 6,254.2 | 4,065.6 | 4,287.8 |
| Jul-17 | 6,427.5 | 6,429.7 | 4,255.4 | 4,364 |
| Aug-17 | 6,498.4 | 6,617.6 | 3,660.9 | 4,411.9 |
| Sep-17 | 6,903.6 | 6,772.5 | 5,219.6 | 4,442.2 |
| Oct-17 | 6,850.5 | 6,872 | 4,587.8 | 4,423.3 |
| Nov-17 | 8,133.1 | 6,923.7 | 4,322.6 | 4,332.2 |
| Dec-17 | 5,961.5 | 6,909.8 | 4,056.2 | 4,158.1 |
| Jan-18 | 7,353.2 | 6,860.1 | 3,589.1 | 3,921.6 |
| Feb-18 | 6,815.3 | 6,802.7 | 4,127.6 | 3,716.3 |
| Mar-18 | 6,688.2 | 6,756.8 | 3,369.2 | 3,595.3 |
| Apr-18 | 6,546.4 | 6,706.4 | 3,562.8 | 3,560.4 |
| May-18 | 6,616.5 | 6,633.7 | 3,432.4 | 3,534.6 |
| Jun-18 | 6,779.9 | 6,529.2 | 3,373.4 | 3,531 |
| Jul-18 | 6,420.2 | 6,376.2 | 4,718.6 | 3,545.3 |
| Aug-18 | 6,098.2 | 6,179 | 3,138.4 | 3,582.7 |
| Sep-18 | 5,819.7 | 5,950.3 | 3,450 | 3,635.7 |
| Oct-18 | 6,071.8 | 5,767.7 | 3,546.8 | 3,689.9 |
| Nov-18 | 5,509.6 | 5,662.2 | 4,383.8 | 3,757.2 |
| Dec-18 | 5,235.7 | 5,630.2 | 3,472 | 3,839.6 |
| Jan-19 | 5,487.6 | 5,647.9 | 4,058 | 3,936.2 |
| Feb-19 | 6,472.2 | 5,675.4 | 3,831.8 | 4,004 |
| Mar-19 | 5,576.3 | 5,677.9 | 4,156.7 | 4,068.4 |
| Apr-19 | 5,257.1 | 5,641.4 | 4,180.8 | 4,177.3 |
| May-19 | 5,686.9 | 5,569.7 | 4,414.7 | 4,319.3 |
| Jun-19 | 5,688.2 | 5,477.4 | 4,179.8 | 4,434.4 |
| Jul-19 | 5,259.3 | 5,421.9 | 4,189.6 | 4,452.2 |
| Aug-19 | 5,294.3 | 5,419.6 | 6,098.1 | 4,430.9 |
| Sep-19 | 5,555 | 5,443 | 3,980.4 | 4,421.3 |
| Oct-19 | 5,412.3 | 5,458.8 | 4,266.7 | 4,455.7 |
| Nov-19 | 5,453.2 | 5,489.2 | 3,852.2 | 4,511.6 |
| Dec-19 | 5,785.3 | 5,527.5 | 4,567 | 4,535.9 |
| Jan-20 | 5,283.4 | 5,528.2 | 5,725 | 4,492.1 |
| Feb-20 | 6,462.8 | 5,488.2 | 4,258.6 | 4,370.4 |
| Mar-20 | 5,539.5 | 5,436.6 | 3,855.2 | 4,194.6 |
| Apr-20 | 5,537 | 5,392.1 | 3,725.4 | 3,994.5 |
| May-20 | 5,178.3 | 5,378.8 | 3,697.5 | 3,921.8 |
| Jun-20 | 5,098.5 | 5,432.2 | 4,236 | 4,016.2 |
| Jul-20 | 5,826.3 | 5,565.2 | 4,135.2 | 4,235.2 |
| Aug-20 | 5,755.9 | 5,778.7 | 4,584.7 | 4,444.3 |
| Sep-20 | 5,970 | 6,149.5 | 2,927.9 | 4,521.4 |
| Oct-20 | 6,485.3 | 6,391.4 | 5,481.5 | 4,510.6 |
| Nov-20 | 6,722.1 | 6,583 | 3,841.7 | 4,464.7 |
| Dec-20 | 6,754.4 | 6,709.3 | 4,340.4 | 4,417 |
| Jan-21 | 6,866 | 6,780.9 | 4,184.7 | 4,443.4 |
| Feb-21 | 7,947 | 8,473.7 | 4,452.6 | 4,563.7 |
| Mar-21 | 8,758.1 | 8,417.7 | 6,367.3 | 4,758.2 |
| Apr-21 | 8,500.8 | 8,326.5 | 4,403.4 | 4,970.7 |
| May-21 | 8,029.6 | 8,204.8 | 4,879.4 | 5,112.8 |
| Jun-21 | 8,004.3 | 8,025 | 6,056.5 | 5,134.7 |
| Jul-21 | 7,686.9 | 7,784.9 | 4,654.7 | 5,072.4 |
| Aug-21 | 7,994.2 | 7,524.9 | 5,034.1 | 4,957.3 |
| Sep-21 | 7,359.9 | 7,300.5 | 4,918.3 | 4,842.2 |
| Oct-21 | 6,805.1 | 7,141.7 | 4,327.8 | 4,802 |
| Nov-21 | 6,814 | 7,041.5 | 5,120.3 | 4,859.2 |
| Dec-21 | 7,182.6 | 7,016.2 | 4,702.2 | 4,992.4 |
| Jan-22 | 6,270.4 | 7,077.4 | 2,913.9 | 5,142.2 |
| Feb-22 | 8,565.2 | 7,163.3 | 6,316.2 | 5,222.7 |
| Mar-22 | 6,977.7 | 7,259.1 | 5,851.6 | 5,207.9 |
| Apr-22 | 7,548.5 | 7,368.2 | 4,547.9 | 5,100.6 |
| May-22 | 7,623.4 | 7,499.5 | 5,472.6 | 4,952.8 |
| Jun-22 | 7,566.1 | 7,629.5 | 5,509.1 | 4,853.2 |
| Jul-22 | 7,124.7 | 7,746.6 | 4,167.4 | 4,879 |
| Aug-22 | 8,735.3 | 7,818.3 | 4,871.2 | 5,017.2 |
| Sep-22 | 7,758.7 | 7,838.5 | 5,470 | 5,201.2 |
| Oct-22 | 7,437.1 | 7,810.1 | 5,256 | 5,351.8 |
| Nov-22 | 7,563.6 | 7,707.1 | 5,967.4 | 5,427.1 |
| Dec-22 | 8,192.7 | 7,553.8 | 5,749 | 5,493.5 |
| Jan-23 | 7,120.2 | 7,418 | 4,534 | 5,550.3 |
| Feb-23 | 7,437.7 | 7,343.9 | 5,958 | 5,627.8 |
| Mar-23 | 6,938.7 | 7,328.3 | 5,545.3 | 5,784.3 |
| Apr-23 | 6,973.4 | 7,313.3 | 6,239 | 5,963.5 |
| May-23 | 8,150.9 | 7,308.6 | 6,605.9 | 6,126.3 |
| Jun-23 | 7,369.6 | 7,313.5 | 9,029.3 | 6,219.2 |
| Jul-23 | 7,005.3 | 7,323.4 | 6,708.6 | 6,205.9 |
| Aug-23 | 7,158.5 | 7,327.1 | 6,160.5 | 6,129.6 |
| Sep-23 | 7,177.6 | 7,328.2 | 5,626.3 | 5,997.6 |
| Oct-23 | 7,616.9 | 7,322.1 | 6,397.7 | 5,783.9 |
| Nov-23 | 7,551 | 7,320 | 5,137.7 | 5,543.6 |
| Dec-23 | 7,431.2 | 7,324.3 | 5,622.2 | 5,358.6 |
| Jan-24 | 8,443.7 | 7,317.1 | 5,265.6 | 5,272.5 |
| Feb-24 | 7,087 | 7,357.9 | 4,342.7 | 5,296.3 |
| Mar-24 | 7,753.7 | 7,488 | 5,683.9 | 5,343.1 |
| Apr-24 | 7,692.8 | 7,686.4 | 6,014.1 | 5,394.6 |
| May-24 | 8,003.8 | 7,909.8 | 5,842.2 | 5,420.8 |
| Jun-24 | 7,793.9 | 8,103.7 | 4,654.1 | 5,365.8 |
| Jul-24 | 8,682.2 | 8,222.9 | 5,364.7 | 5,363.2 |
| Aug-24 | 8,329.3 | 8,303.6 | 5,239.5 | 5,500.7 |
| Sep-24 | 8,174.9 | 8,436.6 | 6,093.6 | 5,735 |
| Oct-24 | 8,709.2 | 8,652.8 | 5,414.8 | 5,928 |
| Nov-24 | 8,615.1 | 8,921.2 | 6,042.6 | 6,049.5 |
| Dec-24 | 8,811.3 | 9,182.2 | 8,231.2 | 6,127.5 |
| Jan-25 | 10,231.8 | 9,377.3 | 5,185.1 | 6,255.5 |
| Feb-25 | 9,867.9 | 9,477.5 | 4,557.4 | 6,464.9 |
| Mar-25 | 9,035.9 | 9,468.3 | 6,807.6 | 6,753.5 |
| Apr-25 | 9,170.2 | 9,424.6 | 9,310.6 | 7,059.4 |
| May-25 | 9,237.1 | 9,372.4 | 6,583.8 | 7,302.7 |
| Jun-25 | 9,670.3 | 9,393.2 | 7,564.5 | 7,441.1 |
| Jul-25 | 9,557.1 | 9,531.6 | 6,598.1 | 7,405.3 |
| Aug-25 | 9,545 | 9,739 | 8,082.5 | 7,246.7 |
| Sep-25 | 10,015.3 | 9,903.1 | 6,608.1 | 7,210.8 |
| Oct-25 | 9,345.7 | 10,004.4 | 7,578.6 | 7,323.5 |
| Nov-25 | 11,461.7 | 10,067.1 | 7,261.6 | 7,428 |
| Dec-25 | 9,669.3 | 10,109.7 | 7,011.5 | 7,456.4 |
| Jan-26 | 9,738.4 | 10,145 | 8,252.6 | 7,421.5 |
| Feb-26 | 12,793.4 | 10,188.9 | 7,987 | 7,311.3 |
| Mar-26 | 10,770.9 | 10,231.2 | 5,967.9 | 7,226.3 |
| a. Trend break added to ‘Total residential’ trend series for September 2020 and February 2021. | ||||
(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
In terms of trend estimates, the total value of residential building rose by 0.4% to AUD10.23b while the total value of non-residential building fell by 1.2% to AUD7.23b in March 2026.
| Value of Building Approved, by Building Type | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonally adjusted | Seasonally adjusted | Trend | Trend | |
| ($m) | Monthly change (%) | ($m) | Monthly change (%) | |
| New residential building | 9,433 | -17.7 | 8,894 | 0.3 |
| Alterations and additions to residential building | 1,337 | 0.8 | 1,337 | 1.3 |
| Total residential building | 10,770 | -15.8 | 10,231 | 0.4 |
| Non-residential building | 5,967 | -25.3 | 7,226 | -1.2 |
| Total building | 16,738 | -19.4 | 17,457 | -0.2 |
(Source: ABS, May 2026, Building Approvals, Australia – SunX ABS website access 6 May 2026)
SunX economist acknowledges the information, data, graphical, and Excel-format tabular sources from ABS, titled Building Approvals, Australia, with the reference period March 2026, accessed by SunX on 6th of May 2026.
SunX Australian Construction Industry Performance Forecast 2026
The recent US-Iran conflict, which led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has added cost pressure on fuel, transportation, building materials, and construction labour, thereby raising the aggregate cost of construction for residential dwellings and apartments, as well as non-residential buildings.
While cost-of-living pressures have already persisted pre-conflict, these additional construction costs will affect the volume of new construction projects for the rest of 2026, largely because the cost push exceeds budgets for most would-be ready-to-build clients.
However, the majority of those would-be construction clients’ sentiments favour delaying the construction project until the US-Iran conflict concludes with a peace agreement and the Strait of Hormuz opens, with cost pressures presumed to revert to pre-conflict levels at some point in the 4th quarter of 2026.
This proposition that the cost will revert to normality is threatened by RBA’s projected cash rate hikes, with one rate rise already effected in May 2026.
In the short term, as the cost of living pressure continues to rise driven by the ongoing US-Iran conflict, these cost increases are filtering through the economic system to consumer retail payment checkout, and this trend will continue until at least the 3rd quarter of 2026 should the US-Iran conflict come to an end in May 2026.
These cost pressures are contributing to drive inflation higher, with inflation projected to remain relatively outside the RBA’s comfort zone of 2% to 3%, hovering around mid-4%.
Given this level of inflation, the RBA will be inclined to increase the cash rate at least once more in 2026, with a second rate rise highly imminent if inflationary pressures rise further.
The interest rate rises invariably increase construction costs. Additionally, the commercial banks may increase the debt service rate used to calculate borrowing capacity for loan assessment. The flow-on effect is that, as the debt servicing rate increases, the borrowing capacity decreases in line with the lender’s risk appetite.
For a build-to-sale project, the downside for large-scale construction companies with construction in progress is the need to absorb the increased cost, which lowers profits.
Moreover, while not envisaged, if tensions heighten and military actions resume in the US-Iran conflict, the Australian inflation rate is projected to surpass 5% and, depending on the length of the conflict beyond hypothetically June 2026, could reach 6%.
On a realistic note, funding of the war till and beyond June 2026 by the US will be highly financially undesirable and appallingly disastrous.
If the conflict continues through or beyond June, the Australian construction industry will experience at least a 15% drop in new construction projects due to cost pressures, and clients relying on bank funding will fail to keep up with price rises, as higher debt servicing costs make them ineligible to secure finance.
The cost push on existing projects with fixed-price contracts will result in a nearly 10% increase in costs, creating a tense environment and disputes among stakeholders.
A glimmer of hope amid the rising cost of the war to the US budget will encourage US officials to adopt a strategic approach to ending the war with a peace agreement.
Ultimately, this path would seem reasonably appropriate given the prolonged disruptions to international trade and the economic damage already weathered globally by this conflict.
Following the end of the conflict, as cost pressures diminish, the pace of construction will pick up as the industry slowly experiences relief from elevated operational costs.
The construction industry, while under intense operational cost pressure in 2026, will inevitably rebound upon news of the conclusion of the US-Iran conflict.
Rising inflation, with a lag, and the RBA rate rise will dampen construction until the 3rd quarter of 2026, after which the pace will pick up in the 4th quarter of 2026, with 2027 promising better prospects for the Australian construction industry.

